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SNAP FY2028 Cost-Share Data Briefs — One Page per Jurisdiction

A one-page FY2028 cost-share brief for each of the 53 reporting jurisdictions: enrollment, annualized issuance, FY2025 payment error rate, the statutory tier that rate produces, the projected annual state share, and what crossing the next threshold is worth. Computed from the same reconciled dataset as the national analysis — no narrative, no per-state prose.

Published
September 1, 2026
Coverage
53 jurisdictions

What is on the page

Every jurisdiction in the FY2028 projection has a one-page brief built from the same reconciled dataset and the same statutory arithmetic. Nothing in it is written for a particular reader: the state-specific content is entirely computed — the tier, the distance to the next threshold, what crossing it is worth in dollars a year, the national rank, and the nearest jurisdictions by enrollment.

That is a deliberate limit. A projection of statutory mechanics is useful to a budget office precisely because it contains no persuasion, and a brief that mixed the two would be worth less than either.

Each brief carries

  • People enrolled, with the year-over-year change.
  • Annualized benefit issuance, and a note when the estimate uses a substitute month.
  • FY2025 combined payment error rate, split into over- and under-payment.
  • The statutory tier that rate produces, and the projected annual state share.
  • The reduction in error rate that reaches the next tier, and what that tier step is worth per year.
  • What one full percentage point of measured error rate is worth at that level of issuance.
  • National rank, and whether the obligation is deferred to FY2029 rather than owed in FY2028.

Across all 53 jurisdictions

43 are at or above the 6% threshold and 21 are in the top tier. The projected FY2028 obligation is $8.32B, with a further $1.51B deferred to FY2029 for the 7 jurisdictions that trip the delayed-implementation clause — deferred, not waived.

Every brief is also linked directly below. Want all 53 in one document? SNAP FY2028 Cost-Share Projections carries the full ranking, the tier mechanics, and every caveat that belongs on the figures.

All 53 briefs

Projected annual state share at the current tier. Rows marked FY2029 are deferred, not waived. Total projected FY2028 obligation across the non-deferred jurisdictions: $8.32B.

A projection of statutory mechanics — not a USDA determination, an invoice, or a guaranteed liability. No implementing regulation for §10105 has been promulgated as of publication; figures reflect statutory text only. No corrective-action-plan waiver exists anywhere in §10105.